I just got back from Jamaica earlier this month and there was a tropical storm/depression float way out in the Atlantic and kept changing directions that could not be predicted. I was concerned that it might ruin my trip, but my checks online assured me that "No Hurricane has ever hit Jamaica after September 15th.... Sure enough Sandy went right over Jamaica, South to North, then went on to hit Cuba and up the east coast of the US.
So just remember...When ever someone makes a prediction or claims that no Hurricane ever hit after a certain date...does not mean it won't happen. Predicting weather is still not an exact science.
....Rich